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The battle for numbers in the 2027 poll showdown

IEBC data shows Raila, Ruto would have a head start of 7m votes if they stick together.

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by MOSES ODHIAMBO

Realtime18 March 2025 - 13:00
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In Summary


  • Considering elections in Kenya are decided largely by regional factors, Ruto, with Raila support, may bag Rift Valley and Nyanza votes.
  • Assuming the regions support them almost to a man, IEBC data shows the duo would have a head start of seven million votes if they stick together until 2027.

Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua and other leaders in his camp on March 4, 2025.

President William Ruto and ODM leader Raila Odinga have left no doubt they will rally together in the 2027 presidential election, bringing into sharp focus the numbers that come with their pact.

The two were the main contenders of the 2022 presidential race, netting more than 14 million votes.

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